What's actually moving right now
Biggest movers and deepest books on both venues, pulled straight from the exchanges' public APIs and rebuilt every hour. No account, no signup.
Updated Nov 10, 11:07 AM UTC · scanned 60 Polymarket + 204 Kalshi contracts
Polymarket — biggest 24h moves
A price that jumped several points means information arrived. The question is whether the book overshot or hasn't finished repricing.
| Market | YES | 24h | 24h vol |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 11, 7:59 AM ET? | 70¢ | +51.0 | $140k |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026? | 10¢ | -29.4 | $114k |
| Another Fed rate hike in 2026? | 91¢ | +15.5 | $185k |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? | 9¢ | -14.0 | $995k |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | 34¢ | -12.0 | $180k |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? | 87¢ | +10.0 | $896k |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? | 97¢ | +9.7 | $173k |
| Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 10? | 16¢ | +8.0 | $560k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | 69¢ | +8.0 | $107k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? | 86¢ | +7.0 | $131k |
Kalshi — biggest 24h moves
Same idea on the regulated venue. Kalshi's flow is sports- and macro-heavy, so its movers tend to cluster around scheduled events rather than breaking news.
| Market | YES | 24h | 24h vol |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mauricio Pochettino: Out from USMNT — Mauricio Pochettino out before 2030 World Cup | 69¢ | +33.0 | $168 |
| When will Jensen Huang leave as Nvidia CEO? — Before Jan 1, 2031 | 59¢ | -22.0 | $3k |
| Who will be the next Secretary of the Army? — Adam Telle | 23¢ | -22.0 | $96 |
| When will Jensen Huang leave as Nvidia CEO? — Before Jan 1, 2033 | 68¢ | -19.0 | $1k |
| When will any company achieve AGI? — Before Jan 1, 2028 | 38¢ | -11.0 | $240 |
| Will the federal minimum wage be raised? — Before 2029 | 85¢ | +10.0 | $346 |
| Will the National Popular Vote compact reach 270 electoral votes? — Before 2028 | 32¢ | +8.0 | $73 |
| Iowa to Reach the CFP before the 2030 season — Iowa reach the CFP before 2030 | 64¢ | +8.0 | $3k |
| Super Ballon d'Or awarded before 2030 | 52¢ | +6.0 | $119 |
| When will any company achieve AGI? — Before Jul 1, 2027 | 27¢ | +5.0 | $775 |
Deepest books on Polymarket
Volume is where you can actually get filled at size. A great edge in a $400 book is a thought experiment, not a trade.
| Market | YES | 24h vol | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? | 9¢ | $995k | Dec 10 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? | 87¢ | $896k | Dec 10 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? | 6¢ | $684k | Dec 10 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? | 5¢ | $597k | Nov 16 |
| Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 10? | 16¢ | $560k | Nov 11 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? | 19¢ | $552k | Dec 1 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | 10¢ | $497k | Jan 1 |
| Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by December 31, 2026? | 14¢ | $373k | Jan 1 |
| Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? | 14¢ | $335k | Apr 19 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | 39¢ | $321k | Jan 1 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | 9¢ | $288k | Jan 1 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? | 97¢ | $256k | Nov 16 |
Deepest books on Kalshi
Ranked separately: Kalshi reports volume in contracts, Polymarket in dollars, and the two venues' figures aren't directly comparable. We convert Kalshi's to notional dollars, but the sampling differs — treat these as within-venue rankings.
| Market | YES | 24h vol | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|
| Who will be the next Speaker of the House? — Hakeem Jeffries | 94¢ | $57k | Jan 1 |
| When will Jensen Huang leave as Nvidia CEO? — Before Jul 1, 2027 | 28¢ | $28k | Jul 1 |
| When will Jensen Huang leave as Nvidia CEO? — Before Jan 1, 2028 | 38¢ | $23k | Jan 1 |
| When will Jensen Huang leave as Nvidia CEO? — Before Jan 1, 2027 | 12¢ | $21k | Jan 1 |
| Next James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond — Robert Pattinson | 35¢ | $16k | Jan 1 |
| Next James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond — Jack Lowden | 30¢ | $6k | Jan 1 |
| When will Jensen Huang leave as Nvidia CEO? — Before Jan 1, 2029 | 48¢ | $6k | Jan 1 |
| Next James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond — Callum Turner | 28¢ | $5k | Jan 1 |
| Next James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond — Josh O'Connor | 20¢ | $3k | Jan 1 |
| When will Jensen Huang leave as Nvidia CEO? — Before Jan 1, 2031 | 59¢ | $3k | Jan 1 |
| Iowa to Reach the CFP before the 2030 season — Iowa reach the CFP before 2030 | 64¢ | $3k | Jan 8 |
| When will any company achieve AGI? — Before Apr 1, 2028 | 52¢ | $2k | Apr 1 |
Near-resolved, still trading
Contracts above 93¢ or below 7¢ that still see volume. This is where longshot bias lives — the last few cents are frequently mispriced in both directions, and fees are at their smallest here.
How to read this page
Every number here is a probability wearing a dollar sign. A contract at 62¢ means the market collectively believes there's a 62% chance — see the field guide for where that breaks down.
The movers tables are the interesting ones. Working out whether a repriced market has gone far enough — in the minutes after the news rather than the hours — is the entire job, and it's what FluxrBot automates.
Before acting on anything here, run the numbers: payout and fees, position size, and if the same event appears on both venues, whether the gap is real.
Data comes from the venues' public APIs and is a snapshot taken at build time, not a live feed — prices move between rebuilds. Coverage is a sample of open markets, not the full universe. Nothing here is a recommendation to trade; see the risk disclosure.