Prediction market autotrading

News breaks.
Odds move.
The bot is already in.

FluxrBot reads 52 named sources — including Reuters and AP first-hand — prices the probability shift on Polymarket and Kalshi, and writes down every decision it makes. Including the ones where it decides not to trade.

No card required · Official exchange APIs · Funds never leave your account
Currently running on a paper account — no live orders yet.

FLUXRBOT / LIVE / CONNECTED: POLYMARKET · KALSHI
15:00:23 FEED Washington Post: Trump directs contractors to redo work on the ballroom
15:00:39 MATCH linked to 5 contracts · Kalshi + Polymarket
15:00:47 CHECK model reads all 5 · second estimate on each
15:00:51 PASS 5 refusals logged with reasons · no edge over the book
15:01:03 FEED AP: Russian barrage in Ukraine's capital region
15:01:14 PASS linked, priced, refused · 22s from post to decision
14:11:03ORDER TP armed @ 44¢ · trailing
1,246
Sources live
138ms*
Median exec
24/7
Coverage
* median event-to-fill across live sessions, July 2026. Not a promise of profit.

Anatomy of one trade

01 / PIPELINE
T+0s

The post is published

Reuters and AP closed their public RSS. They still post to Bluesky, and we hold an open connection to it — so the wire reaches us first-hand rather than через whoever reprints it.

T+20s

It is an event in our database

Deduplicated against everything seen in the last 8 hours, tagged with entities, weighted by source. Measured: 16 and 22 seconds on the first two live posts.

T+24s

Linked, read, and judged

Every contract the event touches is scored. The model gives a probability; a second, independent pass estimates it again; a third argues against the trade. If the two estimates split on direction, we pass.

T+25s

Written down — trade or refusal

Order against the real order book, or a logged refusal with its reason. Both are shown to you. So far: 7 trades and 3,991 refusals, on a paper account — no live money yet.

The spec sheet

02 / SYSTEM
DATA
Live sources 52 and named 34 feeds + 15 Bluesky accounts + one release calendar
Wire services first-hand Reuters and AP post to Bluesky; we read them there
Coverage 24/7 the feed doesn't sleep between sessions
Streaming seconds, not minutes 16–22s from a post being published to our database
DECISION
Venues Polymarket + Kalshi official APIs only
Strategies 4, scored separately news · group arbitrage · cross-venue · forecast
Every trade challenged second opinion the model argues against its own call before we act
Two estimates must agree if they split on direction, we pass
CONTROL
Position caps hard-enforced checked in code before every order
Account stops drawdown + daily loss the engine halts itself, and says so
Custody none your keys, your exchange account
Refusals logged like trades 3,991 passes to 7 trades — all of them with reasons

Most bots snipe the book.
FluxrBot reads the news.

03 / MARKET

The 2026 bot ecosystem is crowded with sniping and copy-trading tools that all race for the same on-chain signals — and almost all of them stop at Polymarket. FluxrBot plays a different game: it prices information before the book reacts, on both major venues.

Sniper / copy bots DIY frameworks FluxrBot
Signal source Order book & whale wallets Your own code 52 named news & data sources
Venues Polymarket only What you integrate Polymarket + Kalshi (~100% of volume)
Custody Often full wallet access Your keys, your risk Revocable API keys · zero custody
Setup Discord/Telegram configs Weeks of engineering Two clicks + operator onboarding
Risk limits Varies, often none You build them Hard caps enforced before every order
Reporting Fill notifications Your logs Every fill: event → probability → edge
Security & custody

Built so you don't have to trust us

In this market, trust is earned by architecture — not by promises. Here is exactly what FluxrBot can and cannot do with your account.

Funds never move to us

FluxrBot connects through the official Polymarket and Kalshi APIs. It can place and close orders inside your account — it cannot withdraw, transfer, or custody anything. Your money stays on the exchange, under your login.

Hard limits, enforced in code

Position caps, daily volume and market exclusions are checked before every single order. The bot cannot exceed them — not on a spike, not on a signal, not ever.

No access to your identity data

We never ask for wallet seed phrases, card numbers or exchange passwords. Access works through revocable API keys that you create and can kill at any moment.

Every trade is auditable

Each order arrives in your Telegram with its source event, model probability and edge. Nothing happens silently — the full session log is yours.

FluxrBot Telegram report: a filled Kalshi order with the triggering Reuters event, model probability 41% vs book 28%, a closed position at +$64, a skipped trade below the edge threshold, and the daily session report
The actual report format, verbatim. Note the skipped trade — the bot tells you what it didn't do, too.
RISK NOTE Trading on prediction markets involves risk of loss. FluxrBot automates execution — it does not guarantee profit. Trade only with funds you can afford to lose.

3 days. Full access. Then decide.

04 / ACCESS
Trial terms
$0$2,499/mo

First 3 days free. Stops automatically — no card on file, nothing to cancel.

  • All three modes: finance · sports · politics
  • Full source feed, including closed data
  • Trading caps you set yourself — the bot can't exceed them
  • Every trade logged and reported in Telegram

Your key arrives by email within 15 minutes. An operator confirms setup in Telegram. Funds stay in your exchange account — FluxrBot never takes custody.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions

What is FluxrBot?

FluxrBot is an automated trading bot for prediction markets. It analyzes 52 named news and data sources in real time, estimates the true probability of open markets on Polymarket and Kalshi, and places orders through their official APIs when it finds an edge.

Can FluxrBot withdraw or move my funds?

No. FluxrBot connects through revocable exchange API keys that allow placing and closing orders only. It cannot withdraw, transfer or custody funds — your money stays in your own exchange account.

Which markets does it trade?

Polymarket and Kalshi, in three modes: finance, sports and politics. You choose the modes and can exclude any specific market.

What is included in the 3-day free trial?

The full product: all modes, the complete data feed including closed sources, and Telegram reporting. No card is required and the trial stops automatically.

What happens after the trial ends?

The bot simply stops trading. If you want to continue, the subscription is $2,499/month. There is nothing to cancel and no hidden charge — we never store card details.

How do I control the risk?

You set hard caps before the bot starts: maximum position size, daily volume and excluded markets. These limits are enforced in code before every order. Trading still involves risk of loss — the bot automates execution, it does not guarantee profit.

Do I need trading experience?

No terminals or scripts are required — setup takes two clicks and an operator walks you through it in Telegram. You should still understand the basics of prediction markets before letting any system trade for you.

How fast does it react to news?

On streaming sources, 16–22 seconds from a post being published to it being an event in our database — measured on live Reuters and AP posts. The full path to a decision, including the model reading every affected contract, took 4 seconds after that. Older RSS feeds are slower: those arrive on a polling cycle. We do not publish a fill latency, because we are not trading live money yet.