Geopolitics
7 stories tagged #geopolitics — what happened and what the prediction markets made of it.
Trump Says US Could 'Stay in Iran and Keep the Oil'
Trump floated staying in Iran to keep the oil—markets shrugged.
Carney Floats EU 'Associate Member' Plan for Canada
A Canadian PM candidate just proposed joining the EU as an 'associate member.'
BRICS Agrees Joint Declaration, Reuters Sources Say
Reuters says BRICS agreed a declaration — but nobody has seen the text.
Houthis Seize Mayun Island in Red Sea Chokepoint
The Houthis now sit on an island in the middle of the strait every Red Sea ship uses.
China Plans Naval Drill with Indonesia East of Taiwan
Taiwan condemns planned Chinese-Indonesian naval exercise to its east as dangerous. What the drill location means for conflict odds.
Pricing Iran Rhetoric: How Gas Warnings Move Markets
Donald Trump's linkage of Iran escalation to higher gas prices signals sentiment shifts. Here is how prediction markets and energy futures price this.