Election markets

5 stories tagged #election-markets — what happened and what the prediction markets made of it.

Analysis · Sep 13, 2026 · ▶ 30 s ☰ 5 min

AfD Protests in Germany: Tens of Thousands March

Tens of thousands marched against the AfD. Odds boards price votes, not crowds.
Analysis · Sep 13, 2026 · ☰ 5 min

Tariffs Won't Fund Trump's $5,000 Dividend

Trump's own commerce secretary says taxes won't cover the $5,000 dividend.
News · Sep 12, 2026 · ☰ 5 min

Reform UK Lands Second £36M Donation in 48 Hours

Reform UK just took £36 million — its second record donation in two days.
Analysis · Aug 10, 2026 · ☰ 5 min

Maine Senate: The Gender Gap and the Odds

NPR says women voters could decide Maine's Senate race. Here is what a demographic story does — and does not do — to prediction-market prices on the contest.
Analysis · Aug 5, 2026 · ☰ 6 min

Washington's 3rd District Just Got Harder to Price

Marie Gluesenkamp Perez and John Braun advanced from Washington's jungle primary. Why a mainstream GOP nominee changes district pricing and House majority odds.

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