#election-markets

Aug 10, 2026

Maine Senate: The Gender Gap and the Odds

NPR says women voters could decide Maine's Senate race. Here is what a demographic story does — and does not do — to prediction-market prices on the contest.

Aug 5, 2026

Washington's 3rd District Just Got Harder to Price

Marie Gluesenkamp Perez and John Braun advanced from Washington's jungle primary. Why a mainstream GOP nominee changes district pricing and House majority odds.