Senate

4 stories tagged #senate — what happened and what the prediction markets made of it.

Markets · Aug 16, 2026 · ▶ 30 s ☰ 4 min

Ohio Senate Polls Tighten: Brown and Acton Lead

The Hill reports slim Democratic leads in two Ohio Senate races. How tight polling moves Senate control contracts on Polymarket and Kalshi.
Analysis · Aug 8, 2026 · ☰ 6 min

Democrats Win Texas? One Quote, No Live Prices

A former GOP strategist says "this might be the year" Democrats win Texas. Here's what a prediction market would need to see before a Texas contract moves.
Analysis · Aug 8, 2026 · ☰ 6 min

Mississippi and What Senate Control Markets Price

Scott Colom says he can flip Mississippi. Here's how a widening Senate map feeds into majority contracts on Polymarket and Kalshi — and where the.
Analysis · Aug 5, 2026 · ☰ 6 min

Collins Defects on Blanche: Reading a Confirmation Market One Vote at a Time

Susan Collins will vote against Todd Blanche for attorney general, leaving Republicans one defection from failure. How confirmation markets price a whip count.

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