Kalshi
9 stories tagged #kalshi — what happened and what the prediction markets made of it.
Ohio Senate Polls Tighten: Brown and Acton Lead
The Hill reports slim Democratic leads in two Ohio Senate races. How tight polling moves Senate control contracts on Polymarket and Kalshi.
Lindell Loses Minnesota Primary: Market Pricing Shifts
Mike Lindell’s Minnesota primary loss forces prediction markets to reprice the Trump endorsement premium. See how contracts adjust to primary upsets.
Maine Senate: The Gender Gap and the Odds
NPR says women voters could decide Maine's Senate race. Here is what a demographic story does — and does not do — to prediction-market prices on the contest.
Democrats Win Texas? One Quote, No Live Prices
A former GOP strategist says "this might be the year" Democrats win Texas. Here's what a prediction market would need to see before a Texas contract moves.
Mississippi and What Senate Control Markets Price
Scott Colom says he can flip Mississippi. Here's how a widening Senate map feeds into majority contracts on Polymarket and Kalshi — and where the.
Tennessee Primary Night: The Prediction-Market Guide to Tonight's Results
Tennessee picks gubernatorial nominees and candidates in nine redrawn districts. How to price nominee-versus-general contracts on a night like this one.
Collins Defects on Blanche: Reading a Confirmation Market One Vote at a Time
Susan Collins will vote against Todd Blanche for attorney general, leaving Republicans one defection from failure. How confirmation markets price a whip count.
Trump Threatens Iran Again: How Prediction Markets Price a Hormuz Deal
Trump says Iran will be hit very hard unless the Strait of Hormuz reopens. Brent fell below $80 — what it means for event contract pricing.