#elections
Lindell Loses Minnesota Primary: Market Pricing Shifts
Mike Lindell’s Minnesota primary loss forces prediction markets to reprice the Trump endorsement premium. See how contracts adjust to primary upsets.
Mississippi and What Senate Control Markets Price
Scott Colom says he can flip Mississippi. Here's how a widening Senate map feeds into majority contracts on Polymarket and Kalshi — and where the.
Democrats Win Texas? One Quote, No Live Prices
A former GOP strategist says "this might be the year" Democrats win Texas. Here's what a prediction market would need to see before a Texas contract moves.
Tennessee Primary Night: The Prediction-Market Guide to Tonight's Results
Tennessee picks gubernatorial nominees and candidates in nine redrawn districts. How to think about nominee-versus-general contract pricing on a night like this.
Michigan's Upset and the Limits of Election Market Wisdom
Abdul El-Sayed's projected Michigan primary win jolted Democrats. What a favorite-beating primary result says about how event contracts price low-turnout races.
Primary Night 2026: What a Split Result Does to Election Contracts
Progressives and moderates both won Democratic primaries while Trump flexed power over GOP races. Here's how a split night repricing works in election markets.