Elections
7 stories tagged #elections — what happened and what the prediction markets made of it.
Sweden Election: Centre-Left Wins by One Seat
Sweden's opposition won by exactly one seat — the thinnest possible majority.
Lindell Loses Minnesota Primary: Market Pricing Shifts
Mike Lindell’s Minnesota primary loss forces prediction markets to reprice the Trump endorsement premium. See how contracts adjust to primary upsets.
Democrats Win Texas? One Quote, No Live Prices
A former GOP strategist says "this might be the year" Democrats win Texas. Here's what a prediction market would need to see before a Texas contract moves.
Mississippi and What Senate Control Markets Price
Scott Colom says he can flip Mississippi. Here's how a widening Senate map feeds into majority contracts on Polymarket and Kalshi — and where the.
Tennessee Primary Night: The Prediction-Market Guide to Tonight's Results
Tennessee picks gubernatorial nominees and candidates in nine redrawn districts. How to price nominee-versus-general contracts on a night like this one.
Michigan's Upset and the Limits of Election Market Wisdom
Abdul El-Sayed's projected Michigan primary win jolted Democrats. What a favorite-beating primary result says about how event contracts price low-turnout races.