#polling

Aug 16, 2026

Ohio Senate Polls Tighten: Brown and Acton Lead

The Hill reports slim Democratic leads in two Ohio Senate races. How tight polling moves Senate control contracts on Polymarket and Kalshi.

Aug 10, 2026

Maine Senate: The Gender Gap and the Odds

NPR says women voters could decide Maine's Senate race. Here is what a demographic story does — and does not do — to prediction-market prices on the contest.