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      "2026-09-05",
      "2026-09-06",
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      "yesPct": 0.1,
      "yesMinusPrice": -0.2
    },
    {
      "category": "unknown",
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      "band": "10-25",
      "n": 119,
      "avgPrice": 17.9,
      "yesPct": 17.6,
      "yesMinusPrice": -0.3
    },
    {
      "category": "unknown",
      "hoursBefore": 6,
      "band": "25-40",
      "n": 184,
      "avgPrice": 33.2,
      "yesPct": 31.5,
      "yesMinusPrice": -1.7
    },
    {
      "category": "unknown",
      "hoursBefore": 6,
      "band": "40-60",
      "n": 723,
      "avgPrice": 49.7,
      "yesPct": 49.7,
      "yesMinusPrice": 0
    },
    {
      "category": "unknown",
      "hoursBefore": 6,
      "band": "60-75",
      "n": 154,
      "avgPrice": 65.8,
      "yesPct": 66.9,
      "yesMinusPrice": 1.1
    },
    {
      "category": "unknown",
      "hoursBefore": 6,
      "band": "75-90",
      "n": 80,
      "avgPrice": 81.7,
      "yesPct": 91.3,
      "yesMinusPrice": 9.6
    },
    {
      "category": "unknown",
      "hoursBefore": 6,
      "band": "90-100",
      "n": 1851,
      "avgPrice": 99.8,
      "yesPct": 99.7,
      "yesMinusPrice": -0.1
    },
    {
      "category": "unknown",
      "hoursBefore": 24,
      "band": "0-10",
      "n": 926,
      "avgPrice": 0.5,
      "yesPct": 0.2,
      "yesMinusPrice": -0.3
    },
    {
      "category": "unknown",
      "hoursBefore": 24,
      "band": "10-25",
      "n": 60,
      "avgPrice": 17.8,
      "yesPct": 16.7,
      "yesMinusPrice": -1.1
    },
    {
      "category": "unknown",
      "hoursBefore": 24,
      "band": "25-40",
      "n": 70,
      "avgPrice": 32.6,
      "yesPct": 30,
      "yesMinusPrice": -2.6
    },
    {
      "category": "unknown",
      "hoursBefore": 24,
      "band": "40-60",
      "n": 163,
      "avgPrice": 49.4,
      "yesPct": 45.4,
      "yesMinusPrice": -4
    },
    {
      "category": "unknown",
      "hoursBefore": 24,
      "band": "60-75",
      "n": 59,
      "avgPrice": 66.8,
      "yesPct": 69.5,
      "yesMinusPrice": 2.7
    },
    {
      "category": "unknown",
      "hoursBefore": 24,
      "band": "75-90",
      "n": 27,
      "avgPrice": 82.2,
      "yesPct": 74.1,
      "yesMinusPrice": -8.1
    },
    {
      "category": "unknown",
      "hoursBefore": 24,
      "band": "90-100",
      "n": 652,
      "avgPrice": 99.8,
      "yesPct": 99.8,
      "yesMinusPrice": 0
    },
    {
      "category": "unknown",
      "hoursBefore": 48,
      "band": "0-10",
      "n": 854,
      "avgPrice": 0.4,
      "yesPct": 0.4,
      "yesMinusPrice": 0
    },
    {
      "category": "unknown",
      "hoursBefore": 48,
      "band": "10-25",
      "n": 34,
      "avgPrice": 18.4,
      "yesPct": 23.5,
      "yesMinusPrice": 5.1
    },
    {
      "category": "unknown",
      "hoursBefore": 48,
      "band": "25-40",
      "n": 63,
      "avgPrice": 32.2,
      "yesPct": 31.7,
      "yesMinusPrice": -0.5
    },
    {
      "category": "unknown",
      "hoursBefore": 48,
      "band": "40-60",
      "n": 84,
      "avgPrice": 49.5,
      "yesPct": 51.2,
      "yesMinusPrice": 1.7
    },
    {
      "category": "unknown",
      "hoursBefore": 48,
      "band": "60-75",
      "n": 25,
      "avgPrice": 67.7,
      "yesPct": 60,
      "yesMinusPrice": -7.7
    },
    {
      "category": "unknown",
      "hoursBefore": 48,
      "band": "75-90",
      "n": 18,
      "avgPrice": 82.6,
      "yesPct": 83.3,
      "yesMinusPrice": 0.7
    },
    {
      "category": "unknown",
      "hoursBefore": 48,
      "band": "90-100",
      "n": 631,
      "avgPrice": 99.9,
      "yesPct": 100,
      "yesMinusPrice": 0.1
    },
    {
      "category": "unknown",
      "hoursBefore": 168,
      "band": "0-10",
      "n": 179,
      "avgPrice": 1.8,
      "yesPct": 1.7,
      "yesMinusPrice": -0.1
    },
    {
      "category": "unknown",
      "hoursBefore": 168,
      "band": "10-25",
      "n": 39,
      "avgPrice": 18,
      "yesPct": 17.9,
      "yesMinusPrice": -0.1
    },
    {
      "category": "unknown",
      "hoursBefore": 168,
      "band": "25-40",
      "n": 169,
      "avgPrice": 35,
      "yesPct": 32.5,
      "yesMinusPrice": -2.5
    },
    {
      "category": "unknown",
      "hoursBefore": 168,
      "band": "40-60",
      "n": 432,
      "avgPrice": 48.9,
      "yesPct": 47.2,
      "yesMinusPrice": -1.7
    },
    {
      "category": "unknown",
      "hoursBefore": 168,
      "band": "60-75",
      "n": 88,
      "avgPrice": 64.7,
      "yesPct": 64.8,
      "yesMinusPrice": 0.1
    },
    {
      "category": "unknown",
      "hoursBefore": 168,
      "band": "75-90",
      "n": 34,
      "avgPrice": 83.3,
      "yesPct": 100,
      "yesMinusPrice": 16.7
    },
    {
      "category": "unknown",
      "hoursBefore": 168,
      "band": "90-100",
      "n": 66,
      "avgPrice": 98.1,
      "yesPct": 100,
      "yesMinusPrice": 1.9
    },
    {
      "category": "weather",
      "hoursBefore": 6,
      "band": "0-10",
      "n": 626,
      "avgPrice": 0.3,
      "yesPct": 0.8,
      "yesMinusPrice": 0.5
    },
    {
      "category": "weather",
      "hoursBefore": 6,
      "band": "10-25",
      "n": 22,
      "avgPrice": 17.1,
      "yesPct": 13.6,
      "yesMinusPrice": -3.5
    },
    {
      "category": "weather",
      "hoursBefore": 6,
      "band": "25-40",
      "n": 17,
      "avgPrice": 32,
      "yesPct": 29.4,
      "yesMinusPrice": -2.6
    },
    {
      "category": "weather",
      "hoursBefore": 6,
      "band": "40-60",
      "n": 19,
      "avgPrice": 49.8,
      "yesPct": 68.4,
      "yesMinusPrice": 18.6
    },
    {
      "category": "weather",
      "hoursBefore": 6,
      "band": "60-75",
      "n": 18,
      "avgPrice": 65.5,
      "yesPct": 77.8,
      "yesMinusPrice": 12.3
    },
    {
      "category": "weather",
      "hoursBefore": 6,
      "band": "75-90",
      "n": 16,
      "avgPrice": 83.1,
      "yesPct": 87.5,
      "yesMinusPrice": 4.4
    },
    {
      "category": "weather",
      "hoursBefore": 6,
      "band": "90-100",
      "n": 188,
      "avgPrice": 99.4,
      "yesPct": 100,
      "yesMinusPrice": 0.6
    },
    {
      "category": "weather",
      "hoursBefore": 24,
      "band": "0-10",
      "n": 15,
      "avgPrice": 2.8,
      "yesPct": 0,
      "yesMinusPrice": -2.8
    }
  ],
  "claims": {
    "allowed": [
      "Paper mode only. 79 paper trades, 74 closed, since 2026-07-31.",
      "449,121 logged refusals with reasons — every decision written down.",
      "On 3892 settled outcomes the model's Brier score is 0.152 vs 0.152 for the market price — the model does not beat the price.",
      "9,574 settled outcomes and 821,924 price points measured — the market calibration table is ours, not quoted.",
      "No wallet private key is ever requested; Polymarket stays signal-only, Kalshi connects with an API key that stays on your machine.",
      "Model was silent 22 day(s) in the last 60 (gateway outage) — now watched by an alert."
    ],
    "forbidden": [
      "Any claim of profitability, ROI, win rate as a selling point, or 'beats the market'.",
      "Any claim that live trading exists or that the bot places real orders.",
      "Any claim that the AI predicts outcomes better than the price — measured: it does not.",
      "Quoting weather +56% as a result: it is one +$95 trade on a 12-trade sample with 42% hit rate.",
      "Quoting 'no-bias' as a strategy: disabled 13.09.2026 after 1 of 6 hits; the measured bias did not hold out of sample."
    ]
  }
}